To avoid cuts this winter, network managers have called for “basic mobility”.

Will France run out of electrical energy this winter? The operator of the electrical energy transmission network RTE on Wednesday, September 14, particularly the awaited forecast for the interval from October 15 to April 15, 2023, safety of provide dangers have appeared since autumn. In an unprecedented context marked by fears over gasoline costs, tensions over fuel provides linked to the conflict in Ukraine and the unavailability of the nuclear fleet, RTE’s government board chairman, Xavier Pichakzik, put the system on “excessive alert” – a stage by no means used till now – and a few Does not exclude the usage of non permanent energy cuts called “load shedding” for sure people or firms.

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However, he assured that the implementation of moderation measures and a “Common Solidarity” It needs to be doable to avoid reaching this level within the network, particularly at excessive voltages. To assess the danger of outages, RTE highlights an indicator: the variety of days when a “Ecowatt Red Alert” may be despatched. “A pink ecowatt sign, Xavier Pichakczyk says, This is RTE who says: In three days, we are going to arrange cuts, until firms, communities and households react and make gestures in time.. So it isn’t automated load shedding. »

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According to RTE’s evaluation, the variety of warnings needs to be between zero and 5 in many of the eventualities studied. “It’s nothing, however in six months it will not matter a lot”, Mr. Piechaczyk emphasised. To arrive at this conclusion, RTE assessed the principle components weighing uncertainty on energy provide. The first pertains to the supply of the nuclear fleet, whose manufacturing is at a thirty-year low. On Monday, September 12, twenty-eight of the fifty-six reactors had been shut down, principally for upkeep actions and to regulate corrosion issues (cracks in reactor pipes).

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Officially, EDF plans to restart all closed items by mid-February 2023. In its most optimistic possibility, the place there aren’t any main hazards or schedule drift, RTE estimates that 40 gigawatts (GW) could possibly be accessible. by 1er 50 GW in December and 1er January, 61.5 GW of whole producing capability. “It corresponds to the technological most but accessible, Xavier Pichakczyk says. Reaching this stage of availability remains to be doable however there needs to be no additional setbacks from as we speak. » In the central state of affairs, however, which considers the chance that every reactor can be introduced again into service later than deliberate, the supply can be a lot decrease, at 38 GW in early December and 45 GW firstly. of January

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