Property costs: are they falling or rising?

Posted on September 21, 2022, 5:00 PM

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After an actual property yr 2021 pushed by low charges and transaction dynamism, 2022 leaves the sector completely in query. We study the cursors to grasp what to anticipate. The European Central Bank raised its rates of interest, first in July after which in September. This has the impact of complicating entry to credit score for a lot of candidates for buy. Yet it has not, thus far, had a dire impression on actual property normally. Even if, in sure cities, shopping for turns into much less handy than renting, the added worth just isn’t assured in the long term.

The rock’s protected haven impact continues at full pace. We purchase or hire investments to safe a roof. The common value per sq. meter continues to extend throughout the area. That’s 3,200 euros per sq. meter. If the market is holding, the indications say we are approaching the tipping level. “For Sale” indicators return to the facade. They are primarily involved about these so-called “vitality sieve” residences which can quickly be penalized

Rebound in Paris

The geopolitical context additionally casts a shadow over the sector, eroding family confidence and buying energy. An general decline in 2022 of between -1 and -2% is anticipated. The Paris market is experiencing a rebound with +18% of transactions in a yr. Notaries observe returns to overseas patrons, particularly Americans. The fall in costs recorded in Paris in current months is near being erased. As for the coast, from Brittany by means of Normandy to Aquitaine, it continues to crowd its homes. The phenomenon issues locals’ capacity to entry merchandise and their costs.

La Story is a podcast from Les Echos offered by Pierreque Fay. This episode was recorded in September 2022. Editor-in-Chief: Clémence Lemaistre. Guests: Anne-Sophie Vion (Heritage Journalist at Echos) and Elsa Dechery (Business Journalist at Echos). Director: Willie Gann. Production and Publishing Manager: Michelle Warnet. Music: Theo Boulanger. Graphic identification: Appian. Image: Shutterstock. Sounds: Nicolas Anglad, Nicky DeMiller “Ca Monte”, European Central Bank, Snap “I’ve Got The Power”, Mel Brooks “It’s Good To Be The King”, Telephone “I Don’t Know What To Do”.

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