Counting the difficulties of Nick Castellanos’s meme runs
Don’t worry about bringing honey, wisdom or baseball advice. Of all his various and varied broadcasting talents, Vin Scully was blessed, above all, with the best of intentions. “He could have called a baseball all those years, but he could have been a very interesting person or a musician,” says Al Michaels, Scully protégé, who had been dating since childhood in Brooklyn. “He has this knowledge of the rhythm of the game.”
The running joke was that baseball was waiting for Scully, not the other way around. “If Vin was in the middle of the story and he was 2-2,” says Ted Robinson, a longtime MLB presenter, “you can be sure the striker can stand the next stage, confirming that Vin has won. Through his story.”
What I am saying, is a good bet that Scully has never passed with Phillies right-back Nick Castellanos.
You may now be familiar with this subject. Or stories. All three of them. On Aug. 19, 2020, Castellanos was playing for the Reds. In a summer, meaningless summer game, the Cincinnati actress at the time, Thom Brennaman, spoke carelessly and harshly on the open-air musical. During the seventh episode of the first two-part series, Brennaman did not realize that the broadcast had returned from a commercial holiday, and created an anti-LGBTQ slur.
By the time the second game, the way the social network operates, it has become clear that Brennaman’s negative comments will be a problem. Apologizing and trying to save his career, Brennaman started the fifth inning and said to himself, “I have already said tonight what I think came out of the air which I am very ashamed of,” he began. to say it out loud. “If I hurt anyone outside, I would not be able to tell you from the bottom of my heart that I am really sorry. I become very proud and think of myself as a man of faith. ”
When he finished, so did Kansas City assistant Greg Holland, who gave the ball to Castellanos, who was batting at the time. As Brennaman continued, the Castellanos bat collided head-on with the tar, resulting in a 410-foot long walk. And we got this from Brennaman: “… As there is a drive on the left side of Castellanos, it will be a run for home. And that makes it a 4-0 ball.”
After the disturbing disruption and the Castellanos rounded up the base, Brennaman returned to repair the damage. “I do not know if I will install these headphones again.”
ESPN’s Pablo Torre states positively, “Seeing Thom Brennaman breaking through the fourth wall and rebuilding the wall abruptly, with a sigh of relief, remains one of the funniest things I’ve ever seen.”
Brennaman was, in fact, a native of the Reds. He finished apologizing, then turned to the Jim Day midgame broadcast. The group fired Brennaman the same night, and he resigned a month later. (He now broadcasts high school sports in the greater Cincinnati area.)
But Castellanos had only just begun. The next time the Reds went to Kansas City, they fought again. George Gorman, a former World War II veteran and father of Royals commanders Patrick Gorman, has died recently. Coming out of the break at the top of the seventh inning, Kansas City announcer Ryan Lefebvre began Gorman’s encouraging words.
Nick Castellanos, however, was beating. And he chose the exact moment to go deeper with his 17th game of the season. Here is a call that Lefebvre gave in line with the preface: “We are talking about an adult. And it is a loss for the Royals.… That is a good life, 96 years. Pat, like his father, went to KU. He also went to Bishop Ward High School. There is a way to the left center – and there is no better time to tell someone during the broadcast, so we apologize for that time. ”
At this point, the “left-hand drive with Castellanos” was enough. But he could not use his bats to interfere with difficult times. Found by the Phillies in the offseason, Castellanos was in the box last Monday in May when NBC Sports Philadelphia presenter Tom McCarthy saw fit to pay a Memorial Day tax.
“A gold chair that will be vacant here at Citizens Bank Park, in honor of those who made the greatest sacrifice.” And, as choreographed, “Castellanos splits in the left-hand field. That. It’s. Gone.”
Three consecutive seasons. Three minutes hard work. Each was shattered by Nick Castellanos running home. Doubtful. Impossible. Question: bus Why impossible? To understand the impossibility, we interviewed sports commentator and director of NFL data and analytics Michael Lopez. He was kind enough to help us find the answer — and to demonstrate his work.
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First and foremost question: How often does Castellanos hit the ball over the fence? In 2020 and ’21 they hit 48 times combined in 827 appearances. The run they hit on Memorial Day was their seventh run in the ’22 season in its 200th plate shape. That is running home, 5.4% of the time they get in the box.
But that is very broad. What Lopez aptly calls the “sad announcements” came quickly in the form of plates, as is the case with baseball broadcasts. In the last three years, on its commemorative day, Castellanos has hit 19 times in the first or second round of his career. Which means there is a 2% chance that, on any type of plate, he can run one home for the first two games.
Plus, chances are they’ll hit home everyone in these three forms? That’s about one in 120,000.
But the chances are very low if we ask him: What opportunity did he have to appear three times in a public square of mourning? To answer that question, we first need to identify a common ground. How often do broadcasters leave the game to deliver a variety of solo songs that Castellanos has an amazingly confusing, analytical way of shooting?
We put this on Ted Robinson, a former 2,500 MLB game host, especially the Giants and Twins, of how often the broadcaster makes unflattering remarks. His estimate? “Once a month. And maybe, “he says.” There is a question of What do we want to convey to the audience?? ” Honoring the Memorial? Absolutely. Perhaps there is the tragic death of someone close to the team or the arrest that you feel you should do [acknowledge]. Koma weeks can pass between them. ”
As a guide, the monthly “sad announcement” would be similar to 10 announcements in the last three years, representing a campaign to shorten the 2020 epidemic. beaten afterwards.
Adding this to the 10 sad announcements, the chances of him becoming a fighter after all three such announcements are approximately 1.2%.
Combining Castellanos’ “home-to-house interest” with “the difficulties that Castellanos may face in the mourning period,” Lopez also reads the envelope. “We can say that there is one in 10 million chances for Castellanos to follow the three sad announcements with the first home run. This, in fact, is a Powerball challenge.”
Lopez suggests that complications increase if we consider such potential each a member of the major league fighters does what Castellanos did. Complications also increase when we consider that a sad announcement would have been made by the broadcasters a kaya team.
Once again, the problems are even greater if we want to fix this and see that Castellanos not only hit home, but did so on the field all the time. And although it was not a rush home, Castellanos interrupted a fourth a sad announcement earlier this season. In spring classes, Blue Jays announcer Buck Martinez was talking nonsense about the DUI arrest of Toronto coach Pete Walker when Castellanos fired a right-handed shot – right, the first hit with the Phillies.
No game shows random events and numbers as well as how it behaves and how baseball plays. Pitcher Joe Niekro is the only job that works at home? It came from his brother, Phil Niekro. Of Stan Musial’s 3,630 hits, 1,815 came home and 1,815 came on the road. Musial, fortunately, was born on Nov. 21, 1920, in Donora, Pennsylvania (pop. 4,580) … an unexpected place like Ken Griffey Jr., born there on Nov. 21, 1969.
What Castellanos did, however, established an impossibility. One in 10 million.
Can you be struck by lightning in your life? According to the National Weather Service, it is 1 in 15,300.
Chance of a shark bite? One in 3.7 million.
Is there a chance of being hit by a meteorite? Astronomer Alan Harris once had 1 in 1.9 million.
Challenges to being elected President of the United States? One in… 10 million.
The meaning, the wonder and the excitement that we all have in announcing the sad news of Castellanos Triple Crown is unwavering. With that time, when his football is over, he could take on a second job as a baseball announcer, replacing Vin Scully.
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